Thursday 21 November 2013

The challenges facing solar in India

In my last post I talked about why solar power has such potential in India, and so thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the challenges facing the spread of solar power in India. Across the Indian power sector in general, there are a variety of challenges that in turn are affecting the success and effectiveness of the current “solar shift”.

The IEA categorizes applications of solar power into: off-grid domestic, off-grid nondomestic, grid connected distributed and grid connected centralized. When looking at India – specifically, when looking at the supply of renewable energy to rural areas of India - the most exciting developments taking place are usually related to the growing use of solar power for decentralized, off-grid domestic and nondomestic purposes, and in this blog I am generally referring to these types of applications over others when discussing India. There are various ways off-grid solar power can be delivered to rural consumers, and I’ll consider some of these in this post.

I’ll start with looking at a report on the Restructured Accelerated Power Development and Reforms Programme (R-APDRP) of the government of India, which points to distribution as being the weakest link in the power sector value chain, and notes that sustainable development of the Indian power sector relies on resolving issues such as Aggregate Technical and Commercial losses (AT & C losses). The concept of AT & C losses was introduced to provide a “realistic picture of the energy & revenue loss situation” (p.2) that was occurring in the Indian power sector. “Technical Losses” generally refers to transformation losses, low power factor and high resistance; issues which plague India’s power distribution network and can lead to large amounts of wasted energy in the grid system. “Commercial Losses” usually refers to the illegal consumption of electricity that is not metered and for which revenue is not collected. In 2013 India registered around a 30% loss in AT & C. This means a third of power generated is lost before getting used (at least officially) in India.

These inefficiencies in distribution, along with a high dependence on fossil fuels for power generation, leave the Indian grid system ineffective and undesirable in its current state. The wider issue of electrifying hundreds of thousands of villages across the country that do not have access to the grid should not, and in many cases cannot, be resolved by expanding the grid system. Of the off-grid renewable energy alternatives, solar PV is the leading favorite across the country due to its noiselessness, easy maintenance, simple operation, zero-emission power generation and superiority in efficiency (Moosavian et al., 2013). An analysis by Kolhe et al. (2002) demonstrates how solar PV-powered systems are a lower cost option to diesel-powered systems even under unfavourable economic conditions. The use of solar generation and other renewable energy technologies for powering heating, ventilation and air-conditioning systems (HVAC) is especially popular in India (Khare et al., 2013).

Where grid power is unavailable due to economic or practical reasons, solar has now become a relatively cheap source of energy, the use of which India has become increasingly receptive to. It should be remembered that India was the first country in the world to set up a ministry of non-conventional energy resources in 1980. Being a tropical country, India has an average annual temperature ranging between 25°C and 27.5°C and receives adequate solar radiation for 300 days of the year, meaning that the country as a whole receives an annual amount of sunshine that is equivalent to over 5,000 trillion kWh. Almost all regions of India receive between 4-7 kWh of solar radiation per square meter per day. A recent study assessed the potential of CSP* generation in northwestern regions of India, where there is the highest annual solar radiation in India and a large amount of available land, and estimated this to be over 2000GW (Purohit et al., 2013). The potential for solar in India is huge, and many are taking advantage of the available market for it (Arora, 2013).

©flickr/meghta2016
Across India’s poorest states, hundreds of small private companies are setting up local solar power stations, bringing off-grid power to rural and unconnected villages. One such company is the Omnigrid Micropower Company (OMC), which works to power unconnected rural communities by building small-scale power plants with renewable sources. The company works according to the assumption that access to power in these communities will encourage job creation and therefore economic development. It has enjoyed recent success with its ‘Micropower Business-in-a-box’ scheme, which encourages rural entrepreneurs to sign up for starter kits that include rechargeable solar lanterns, solar-powered fans and take-home power boxes that they can then rent out to the wider community.

The work of the OMC serves as an example of how the introducing cheap, accessible, renewable energy, that is both economically and environmentally beneficial, can have a huge impact on rural communities. Similar efforts being made across India are demonstrating how they have the potential to completely transform the lives of rural people through stimulating local economies, and are contributing to social development in poorer areas of the country. The government of Tamil Nadu, one of the more progressive Indian states in encouraging the expansion of installed solar capacity, has recently signed a power purchase agreement for 700MW of solar power, which will increase the country’s installed capacity by 30%. Also, the Indian government is currently implementing a Remote Village Electrification Programme (RVEP) using various renewable energy sources, with work completed in 10154 villages and hamlets as of June 2013.

But despite this progress, and the poor state of the current grid system, there are still significant obstacles impeding the expansion of solar to rural areas. Policy disruptions causing delays in the implementing the second phase of the Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM) have affected demand for solar. The launch of the second phase, which aims to expand solar power capacity in the country by 10,000MW by 2017, has been hampered by several issues. The recent depreciation of the Indian rupee is thought to have affected confidence among firms importing solar panels which, when combined with wider budget problems, has helped to delay the launch of the second phase. As well as economic constraints, the solar mission has been affected by political uncertainty arising from the upcoming national elections in 2014.

Solar manufacturing in India has also had to face many challenges, including competition from other countries, the high cost of capital expenditure and financing for projects, periods of low domestic demand and competition over the availability of land for solar installation versus other uses (Khare et al., 2013). Also undercutting efforts at expanding solar power is a government policy that allows 100% foreign direct investment in all areas of the power sector, meaning that the financial returns on installing solar and other renewable energy capacity in India are often directed out of the country.

Recently, the introduction of ‘mini-grids’ (local, small-scale generator systems providing wired power to neighbouring households) as a solution for off-grid rural electrification has been proposed. As shown in the graph below, which was taken from a publication produced by the IFC in 2012, mini-grids (local, small-scale generator systems providing wired power to neighbouring households) may be economically viable over the provision of standalone lighting products once a specific population density has been surpassed:

Source: IFC (2012) ‘Lighting Asia: Solar Off-Grid Lighting’
But large capital expenditure is a major factor stopping the proliferation of these solar mini-grids, which effectively are just decentralized, independent solar power units serving small clusters of households in rural areas. The large amount of capital needed to install capacity for this kind of solar generation acts as a significant barrier to entry for small companies hoping to enter the ‘mini-grid market’. The maintenance and operational costs are also a proportionally greater burden for smaller companies than for large-scale companies, who can outsource such services or have easier access to technological solutions that can reduce such costs. Another issue is that many rural households are not used to regularly paying for electricity, and many are simply not able to. Additionally, a history of sub-standard, poor-quality solar panels, lanterns and other lighting products being sold has affected trust in solar technology in some rural regions (p.29). These issues need to be effectively resolved if mini-grids are to take over as the dominant mode of off-grid rural electrification in India.

Perhaps what has been most encouraging about the solar push in India is the commitment and support of the government. In other countries a lack in government interest and engagement has often been the main obstacle in expanding the use and application of solar energy. Recently, however, there has been “a high degree of policy and regulatory uncertainty for investment in renewable energy” (p.8) in India, and it is crucial that the government renews its commitment, as the continued success of India’s solar mission depends on it (Khare et al., 2013).

Go to this link to read an interview with India’s power minister Jyotiraditya Madhavrao Scindia on last year’s blackout that affected 700 million people, the largest power outage in history.

*Unlike solar photovoltaic (PV) technology, where sunlight is directly converted to electricity via a photovoltaic effect, the more common concentrated solar power (CSP) converts sunlight into heat, often using mirrors, which is then turned into electricity. CSP has formed a large part of the JNNSM.

2 comments:

  1. Great post! It’s interesting that because of AT & C costs, connecting villages up to the grid system may be ineffective and undesirable, and as you mentioned previously, as conventional systems have not been established, there is more room to explore alternative sources.
    Have you heard of the Barefoot College set up in rural India and also Africa? (http://www.barefootcollege.org/) They train locals to build solar power systems so that local people can self-sufficiently maintain the systems, an exciting example of building social and environmental sustainability: http://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2011/jun/24/india-barefoot-college-solar-power-training

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  2. Thanks! Yes I have, and what's great about the Barefoot College is that it does more than just introduce renewable energy to these rural and often impoverished areas, that's just one aspect. The college trains women living in rural areas, who often belong to lower castes and are therefore socially excluded, giving them skills that enable them to work. Considering that these women are usually subjugated in society because of their gender and lack of education, the training helps support both social and economic development. The combination of this with promoting environmental sustainability is really great.

    Of course, considering the number of villages across rural India in need of electricity, this kind of thing needs to be happening at a much larger scale, and there need to be more businesses and social enterprises like the OMC and the Barefoot College connecting the dots between renewable energy, job creation and wider sustainable development.

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